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India Bans Rice Export with Immediate Effect, Sparks Global Price Rise Fear

India, the world’s largest rice exporter, has imposed an immediate ban on some overseas sales of non-basmati white rice, a move that could have significant implications for countries heavily reliant on rice imports. The decision comes amidst the challenges posed by the Covid pandemic, the Ukraine war, and El Nino’s production disruptions, leading to soaring international rice prices.

Ban Details

India’s consumer affairs and food ministry announced the ban on non-basmati white rice exports, accounting for approximately a quarter of the country’s total rice exports. The government aims to ensure sufficient domestic availability and curb rising prices in the domestic market, which have escalated due to various global factors.

Impact on Global Prices

The ban on rice exports from India, responsible for more than 40% of all global rice shipments, is likely to raise concerns about food insecurity in countries heavily dependent on rice imports. The move could potentially exacerbate high food-price inflation in African nations, Turkey, Syria, and Pakistan, which already face challenges in meeting their food needs.

Increased Demand and Short Supply

Despite a 35% year-on-year increase in Indian exports of non-basmati white rice in the second quarter, the government has taken this drastic measure to address domestic food security and inflation concerns. Alternative suppliers like Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, and the US may not have sufficient spare capacity to fill the gap created by India’s ban, leading to increased global rice prices.

Potential Inflationary Impact

The ban could contribute to inflation around the world as rice serves as a substitute for wheat in various food items. Moreover, the cancellation of the Black Sea grain deal by Moscow has already led to an uptick in wheat prices, further impacting global food prices.

India’s ban on non-basmati white rice exports with immediate effect has raised concerns over global rice prices and food insecurity in rice-importing nations. As a major rice exporter, India’s decision could have far-reaching implications for international food markets, warranting close monitoring of the situation to address potential food crises.

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